DDHQ director says Mike Rogers's time is 'running out'

Progressive policy ambitions meet practical realities as Americans weigh costs and consequences.

Source: The Hill
1 min read
Why This Matters

Scott Tranter says Mike Rogers has a 33 percent chance, and we’re supposed to treat that like a verdict. It’s not. It’s a snapshot taken in July, with the actual election still months away.

New Republican Times Editorial Board

DDHQ director says Mike Rogers's time is 'running out'
Image via The Hill

Scott Tranter, Decision Desk HQ's (DDHQ) director of data science, on Sunday said that "time is running out" for Republican Michigan Senate candidate Mike Rogers to close the gap between him and Democratic opponent Abdul El-Sayed.

DDHQ's forecast shows El-Sayed with a 67 percent probability of winning in November, with Rogers holding a 33 percent

Original source:

Read at The Hill

How We See It

New Republican Times Editorial Board

Scott Tranter says Mike Rogers has a 33 percent chance, and we’re supposed to treat that like a verdict. It’s not. It’s a snapshot taken in July, with the actual election still months away. But here’s what the number actually tells us: Rogers is running in a state where the Democrat’s ground game is humming, and his own campaign has been about as exciting as a C-SPAN rebroadcast.

The man is a literal FBI agent and former congressman. You’d think that would be enough to run a competent race, but the energy just isn’t there. We keep watching Republicans in Michigan fumble the ball on the two-yard line. President Trump was just in the state hammering the border and the auto industry’s EV mandate problem, and that message should be landing like a bomb with working-class voters. Instead, Rogers is letting El-Sayed define himself as a reasonable doctor while the cost of living and crime statistics scream in the other direction.

The data isn't wrong, but the interpretation is. Rogers is behind because he’s running a sleepy, consultant-driven campaign in a state that needs a brawl. He needs to make the race about policy, not personality. Call out El-Sayed’s support for medicare for all and open borders policies that would wreck Michigan’s budget. Stop playing defense and start tying the guy to the national Democrat brand, which is underwater on the economy. The clock is indeed ticking, but the math changes fast when the contrast is clear. He has a pulse, but only just barely. It’s time to take the gloves off, or he might as well spend November watching the returns from the couch.

Commentary written with AI assistance by the New Republican Times Editorial Board.